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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
71%
Pause–Pause–Pause
28%
7 more
$539K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
81%
Other
19%
7 more
$887K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
52 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
69%
September Meeting
61%
3 more
$1.55M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
64 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet
85%
Central Bank
82%
32 more
$64K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
47 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.1K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
43 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
56%
25 bps increase
30%
3 more
$332K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
48 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
27%
Yes
No
1
26%
Yes
No
$49K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
53 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
32%
2 (50 bps)
31%
4 more
$56K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
42 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
61%
Pause–Pause–Pause
39%
7 more
$568K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
63 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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