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Prediction markets
14 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$2.78M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$152
66 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$680K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$89
48 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
14%
5 more
$1.39M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$2.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
49%
<50
46%
3 more
$112K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
45 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
39%
chance
Yes
No
$79K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
51 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
44%
December
15%
5 more
$139K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
45 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
95%
20-40
4%
3 more
$247K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 26
41%
August 9
40%
35 more
$48K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
51 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
65%
220-229
22%
4 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
45 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
99%
285M
85%
4 more
$18K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
34%
25-49
33%
3 more
$558.86
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$75
31 trading now
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