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Prediction markets

18 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng99%9 more
$879KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+96%
550-575mm
550-575mm2%8 more
$32KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

≤6
24%YesNo
7
14%YesNo
NEW $4.5KVol. Aug 2science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

9
37%YesNo
10
37%YesNo
$24KVol. Jul 26science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm97%
70-80mm
70-80mm2%5 more
$9.7KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"88%
1-1.5"
1-1.5"6%5 more
$3.6KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

0
91%YesNo
1
11%YesNo
$7.1KVol. Jul 26science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest93%
2nd hottest
2nd hottest3%2 more
$113KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31
December 3154%
August 30
August 3049%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC85%
1.25–1.29ºC11%4 more
$44KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

2%

chance

YesNo
$578KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"46%
3-4"
3-4"32%4 more
$32KVol. Jul 31science